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Jack Clark tells IMF AI Singularity has begun, citing 98% score on unpublished physics problems

·2026.10.19 21:31

Key point

Anthropic co-founder argues AI now autonomously accelerates scientific discovery, projecting a $44 trillion US GDP by 2030 if adoption scales.

Details

  • Jack Clark, co-founder of Anthropic, presented at the IMF in Bangkok, arguing the AI Singularity has begun as AI systems autonomously operate at the scientific frontier.
  • GPT-6-Astra achieved a 98% score (49/50) on TheoPhysEval, a set of 50 unpublished theoretical physics problems, after identifying and correcting errors in expert-provided answers.
  • Benchmark performance has surged: Claude Opus 5.5 scores 67.7% on Humanity’s Last Exam (up from 8%) and 94% on FrontierMath (up from 2%).
  • Clark projects that if AI autonomously performs broad tasks and spreads rapidly, US GDP could reach $44 trillion by 2030, requiring infrastructure investment in power, data centers, and physical robotics.
  • Policy recommendations include strict human oversight for biological research, managing misuse risks in cyber and bio-weapons, and enabling developing nations to leapfrog via scientific facility construction.
  • The talk highlights that AI can replace the 10-15 year training period for experts, allowing for the immediate generation of virtual researchers to accelerate idea discovery.
anthropicai-safetysingularityjack-clarkgpt-6-astraimfclaude-opus-5.5theo-phys-eval
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