VIDRAFT Publishes Leaderboard Grading Operational Forecasts Daily

·2026.11.13 19:57

Key point

VIDRAFT has released a leaderboard that grades operational forecasts daily and a fusion model on Hugging Face.

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Details

  • VIDRAFT has released a public leaderboard on Hugging Face that grades the accuracy of major global forecast models daily, along with the multi-forecast fusion system Darwin-Prediction-Weather
  • In the 2026 cumulative records, the fusion engine recorded RMSE 13–39% lower than the next-best model for temperature and wind speed, and 1–4% lower for precipitation
  • Among meteorological agency models, AI models (ECMWF AIFS, NOAA AIGFS) showed lower errors than physics models (ECMWF IFS, NOAA GFS)
  • Validation on WeatherBench 2 also achieved RMSE lower than the lowest values on the official scorecard across all 15 categories, including 2m temperature, Z500, and T850
  • The evaluation design ensures reproducibility through common case grading, future information blocking, and delayed ground truth processing based on ERA5 reanalysis
  • The leaderboard app is provided under the Apache-2.0 license, while the model and data are under the CC BY-NC 4.0 license, allowing anyone to recalculate via client-side computation

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