Introducing KellyBench (2 min read)
·2026.04.10 09:00
Key point
On KellyBench, both Claude Opus 4.6 and GPT-5.4 failed to turn a profit.
Details
KellyBench simulates the 2023-24 English Premier League season to evaluate sequential decision-making in sports betting.
In testing, even models like Claude Opus 4.6 and GPT-5.4 struggled, and no model achieved a positive return.
The results show that current models have limits in accumulating experience for long-term strategy and adapting under uncertainty. This type of task requires a more complex environment.
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