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Datadog Unveils Time-Series Forecasting Model Toto-2.0

·2026.07.09 20:44

Key point

Datadog announced Toto-2.0, a new time-series forecasting model capable of parallel processing and highly scalable.

Details

Datadog has unveiled Toto-2.0, a new multivariate time-series forecasting model that overcomes the limitations of the existing Toto-1.0. This model has the following key technical features.

  • Contiguous Patch Masking (CPM): Instead of the existing autoregressive decoding approach, it uses a single parallel forward pass to improve efficiency.
  • Arcsinh Normalization: It compresses extreme spikes in the data while keeping subtle fluctuations clear, optimizing it for handling sparse data.
  • NorMuon Optimizer: It handles the sign-valued gradients of the Pinball loss much more effectively than AdamW.
  • u-µP Hyperparameter Transfer: Hyperparameters tuned on a proxy model with 10 million parameters can be directly reused across 5 different target model sizes, giving it excellent scalability.

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